Dumbarton
Data synced from Democracy Club.
7 candidates confirmed for 7 May 2026.
Result · declared
08/05/2026, 20:03 ✓ Forecast correct
Labour wins
· majority 1,786 (5.6 pts)
| Labour Jackie Baillie | 12,747 | 39.8% |
| SNP Sophie Traynor | 10,961 | 34.2% |
| Reform David Smith | 5,040 | 15.7% |
| Conservative Gary Mulvaney | 1,368 | 4.3% |
| Lib Dem Elaine Ford | 1,196 | 3.7% |
| trade-unionist-and-socialist-coalition Lynda Hannah McEwan | 356 | 1.1% |
| ind Andrew Joseph Muir | 355 | 1.1% |
Closest national poll on the winning party's share: Survation (Ballot Box Scotland) — off by 2.8 pts.
Quiz candidates · included in vote compass matching
David Smith
Reform UK
Former Chief Petty Officer in the Royal Navy; last role as Nuclear Reactor Operator. Reform UK branch chairman for Dunbartonshire.
Elaine Ford
Liberal Democrats
Worked in education for 22 years as a student welfare manager. Doubled Lib Dem vote share in Edinburgh's Craigentinny/Duddingston by-election.
Gary Mulvaney
Conservative and Unionist Party
Argyll and Bute councillor since 2003. Qualified accountant and director of Helensburgh Toyota. Led the Conservative group on the council.
IncumbentJackie Baillie
Labour Party
Deputy Leader of the Scottish Labour Party since 2020 and MSP for Dumbarton since 1999, making her the only Scottish Labour MSP to have held their constituency seat continuously since the Parliament's creation. Before entering politics she worked in local government in community economic development. She has twice served as acting leader of Scottish Labour.
Sophie Traynor
Scottish National Party (SNP)
West Dunbartonshire councillor for Clydebank Central since 2022.
Other candidates
Compare candidates side by side
Side-by-Side Comparison
Dumbarton
Policy positions shown are based on party platforms. Individual candidates may hold different views.
What each candidate actually stands for on each issue
Scotland's Future
Reform: Oppose independence. Strong unionist position rejecting another referendum as a distraction from Scotland's day-to-day problems.
Lib Dem: Oppose independence. Back a written constitution for a federal United Kingdom and a new bespoke UK-EU customs union.
Tory: Strong opposition to independence. Stand up for Scotland's place in the Union and stop another independence referendum.
Labour: Oppose independence. Focus on delivery within the UK and Scotland's strengths in the UK growth sectors. Frame the election as a choice between delivery and SNP-led constitutional distraction.
SNP: Support independence. An SNP majority at this election is framed as a mandate for a referendum. Independence cited as essential to Scotland's future prosperity.
NHS & Health
Reform: NHS Scotland stays free at the point of need and funded by general taxation, but needs major reform. A workforce plan to train more doctors and nurses and a shift to prevention.
Lib Dem: A 10-year NHS and care workforce plan, new neighbourhood health teams giving every GP practice the equivalent of an extra clinical staff member, walk-in mental health services and a Fair Deal for Rural Healthcare.
Tory: Focus on faster GP appointments and reducing waiting lists by increasing NHS capacity for procedures. Efficiency-led NHS reform rather than new spending commitments.
Labour: End the 8am GP rush, bring back the family doctor, cut waiting times with funding following the patient, introduce an NHS app and AI scanners, and deliver £15/hr for social care workers.
SNP: Significant NHS investment. Expand GP walk-in clinics, shorten waiting times, deliver more operations and community diagnostics. NHS described as Scotland's most precious public service.
Housing
Reform: Repeal SNP tenancy regulations and introduce a Rent-To-Buy model for young people, first-time buyers and working families. Restore a local connection requirement for social housing.
Lib Dem: Return housebuilding to 25,000 new homes annually, create key worker housing, and replace the SNP's housing strategy with a new holistic data-driven approach.
Tory: Market-led housing policy. Scrap SNP rent controls, stop costly housebuilding regulations, and abolish tax on buying a primary home (Land and Buildings Transaction Tax reform).
Labour: Deliver 125,000 new homes by 2031 across all tenures. Build 20,000 mid-market rent homes to save tenants an average of £2,700 a year off market rents. Establish a Housing Bank and a private-rented-sector strategy (no new rent controls).
SNP: Build 110,000 affordable homes by 2032 (70% social rent), create a new housing agency, retain the rent control framework, and provide deposit support of up to £10,000 for first-time buyers.
Climate & Transport
Reform: Scrap all SNP Net Zero related targets, subsidies and quangos. End the ban on new nuclear in Scotland and rehabilitate North Sea gas as the primary energy system.
Lib Dem: Support net zero by 2045 with a programme for net zero new towns featuring rail links, district heating and 20-minute neighbourhoods.
Tory: Scrap the SNP's 2045 net zero target and drop policies that impose costs on households to meet it. Back the oil and gas industry and scrap carbon pricing schemes.
Labour: Achieve net zero by 2045 ambitions. Double home retrofits, back GB Energy and the Scottish National Investment Bank, end the block on clean nuclear energy, and deliver a fair energy transition for oil and gas workers.
SNP: Continue the transition to net zero by 2045 with a focus on Scotland's renewable energy wealth. Interim 2030 climate targets were dropped in 2024; emphasis is on energy costs and a just transition.
Tax & Public Spending
Reform: Cut income tax. Scrap Scotland's six income tax bands, mirror the rUK three bands at 1p below each, and aim for a 3p variation below rUK within the first five years.
Lib Dem: Where funds allow, lift tax thresholds in line with inflation and begin to close the tax differential with England in a balanced way that protects public services.
Tory: Cut income tax — raise the point at which you start paying in line with inflation, uprate the Higher Rate threshold, and lower income tax to 19p in the £1 for low- and middle-income households.
Labour: Commit to no income tax rate rises for five years, with the ambition to lower taxes as the economy grows.
SNP: Keep Scotland's progressive income tax, the fairest and most progressive in the UK. Introduce a mansion tax on properties valued above £1m from 2028.
Economy & Jobs
Reform: Cut £7.5bn of spending — £1bn from ideological Net Zero projects and £6.5bn from 132 quangos — to fund a new deal for Scotland that rewards work and aspiration.
Lib Dem: Reform business rates to stop sudden tax hikes on successful employers and help people upskill through new Job Transition Loans worth up to £5,000.
Tory: Make economic growth the number one policy objective. Cut regulation, introduce Scottish Business Zones, and oppose tax rises and new taxes.
Labour: Sustained economic growth as the route to improving living standards. Establish a Scottish Board of Trade, partner with GB Energy and the UK National Wealth Fund, and cut a third of quangos to end government waste.
SNP: Grow the economy while protecting public services. Unlock £20 billion of pension fund investment, back a just transition, and use Scotland's renewable energy wealth to cut costs for households and businesses.
Education & Childcare
Reform: Direct school-leavers into trades via technical colleges rather than universities. Ban mobile phones in classrooms and give headteachers discretion over budgets and recruitment.
Lib Dem: Hire 2,000 more pupil support assistants, roll out speech and language therapy and make every school a smartphone-free environment.
Tory: Raise school standards. Empower headteachers and reduce bureaucracy to lift Scotland back up international rankings.
Labour: Breakfast clubs in every primary school, 2,000 Education Recovery teachers and 1,500 more classroom assistants, ban mobile phones in classrooms, and top up tax-free childcare to £3,000 per child.
SNP: A transformational national expansion of childcare from 9 months to the end of primary school, 52 weeks a year. Protect free university tuition and free school lunches.
Social Issues
Reform: Socially conservative. Criticises existing gender policies as "woke" and argues the SNP has not protected women and girls in Scotland.
Lib Dem: Strong defence of LGBT+ and trans rights. Ban all forms of conversion therapies and practices, working in partnership with the UK Government.
Tory: Socially conservative. Guarantee every woman has access to single-sex wards, affirm biological sex under the Equality Act, and oppose the Non-Binary Equality Action Plan.
Labour: Recommit the NHS to single-sex wards on the basis of biological sex. Deliver a four-nation conversion practices ban to protect LGBT+ people. Tackle long waits for gynaecological procedures as part of a women's health plan.
SNP: Uphold and protect the human rights of trans people within devolved powers. Scotland is the first country in the world to incorporate LGBTQI+ education in schools. Strong commitment to equality across all groups.